英语翻译Most of the available literature uses econometric models with no explicit tradestructure.Park (2005),for instance,using the Oxford Economic Forecasting model,finds that if China revalued by 10% the Chinese trade surplus would fall by $15b

英语翻译Most of the available literature uses econometric models with no explicit tradestructure.Park (2005),for instance,using the Oxford Economic Forecasting model,finds that if China revalued by 10% the Chinese trade surplus would fall by $15b
英语翻译
Most of the available literature uses econometric models with no explicit trade
structure.Park (2005),for instance,using the Oxford Economic Forecasting model,
finds that if China revalued by 10% the Chinese trade surplus would fall by $15
billion.Kamada and Takagawa (2005),employing the Asian Economy Model,report
that a 10% appreciation of the RMB would cause the aggregate Chinese trade surplus
to fall by 0.5% of Chinese GDP.However,as the IMF (2005) notes few of these
studies report changes in China’s exports and imports.Marquez and Schindler (2006),
using an autoregressive distributed lag model,find that a 10% appreciation of the
RMB would reduce China’s share of world exports by 0.5% and China’s share of
world imports by 0.1%.
Other studies of Renminbi revaluation use general equilibrium models in which
monetary structure is absent.The IMF (2005),utilizing a partial equilibrium
framework,conclude that a 10% Renminbi appreciation would reduce China’s trade
surplus by $10 billion.Willenbockel (2006),using a general equilibrium model with
different fixed labor supply and unlimited labor supply assumptions simulates a
revaluation of the RMB by 4%,and finds that a 4% RMB revaluation,would increase
China’s exports by 10.5% or 13.6%,and exports would fall by 10.7% or 11%
depending upon the assumptions used.

英语翻译Most of the available literature uses econometric models with no explicit tradestructure.Park (2005),for instance,using the Oxford Economic Forecasting model,finds that if China revalued by 10% the Chinese trade surplus would fall by $15b
自己翻译的,虽然那不怎么专业,可是还算ok的,把分给我哦~
大多数现有的文献利用的是不具有明确贸易结构的计量经济模型.据个例
子,帕克（2005）在采用牛津经济预测模型进行预测后发现,如果人民币升值了
10 ％,中国贸易盈余将下降150亿美元.镰田和高川（ 2005年） ,采用亚洲经
济模型后得出报告：人民币升值10 ％将导致中国的贸易顺差总额下降,这一下
降幅度将达到中国国内生产总值的0.5 ％.但是,国际货币基金组织（ 2005）
注意到,这些研究报告很少提及中国进出口方面的变化.马尔克斯和辛德勒
（ 2006年）在采用自回归分布滞后模型分析后发现,人民币升值10 ％,中国所
占的世界出口份额将减少0.5 ％ ,所占的世界进口份额的将减少0.1 ％ .
其他关于人民币升值问题的研究采用的是不具有货币结构的一般均衡模
型.国际货币基金组织（ 2005年）采用局部均衡框架,得出这样的结论：人民
币升值10 ％,中国的贸易盈余就会减少100亿美元.Willenbockel （ 2006年）
使用了一般均衡模型,这一模型假设不同固定劳动力的供给和无限的劳动力供
给,在刺激人民币升值4 ％以后,根据所用的假设,我国出口将提高10.5 ％或
13.6 ％ ,出口将下降10.7 ％或11 ％ .