GMAT逻辑OG12-71问题!71.Roland:The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.Sharon:But a normal,moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent,with one out of 20 workers unempl
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GMAT逻辑OG12-71问题!71.Roland:The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.Sharon:But a normal,moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent,with one out of 20 workers unempl
GMAT逻辑OG12-71问题!
71.Roland:The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.
Sharon:But a normal,moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent,with one out of 20 workers unemployed.So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers,one or more will very likely be unemployed.
Sharon’s argument relies on the assumption that
(A) normal levels of unemployment are rarely exceeded
(B) unemployment is not normally concentrated in geographically isolated segments of the population
(C) the number of people who each know someone who is unemployed is always higher than 90 percent of the population
(D) Roland is not consciously distorting the statistics he presents
(E) knowledge that a personal acquaintance is unemployed generates more fear of losing one’s job than does knowledge of unemployment statistics.
为什么选B?C哪里不对?
GMAT逻辑OG12-71问题!71.Roland:The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know someone who is unemployed.Sharon:But a normal,moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent,with one out of 20 workers unempl
R说国家里90%的人声称自己知道有人失业.S说 正常的失业率是5% 也就是每20个工作的人中一人失业.所以任何时候如果某人认识50个workers,其中至少有一人很可能失业.
题目只要分析S的结论依据
B前提是 失业人口并不集中于某一特定独立的地区.你想想看,如果所有这些失业的人都集中于一个地区,其他地区都没有很多,那么如果某个其他地区的人认识50个workers,有可能这50人都没有失业.本来5%失业率指的是1/20个人失业,也就是2.5/50个人失业.但如果这个5%只是发生于某一个地区的,其他地区的人并不会发现有1/20个人失业.
C前提是 知道某人失业的这些人的人数总是高于总人口的90%.S的理论依据和R话里的90%没有什么必然联系,是个无关选项吧.这不是一个可以用来作为S的前提假设的选项.